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December 18, 2017

At the start of the last full trading week before the holiday season, it's easy to see what topic is getting the most attention this morning ..... the US tax plan, of course. Word has it that the difficulties in finding a suitable compromise between the Senate and Hous...

December 15, 2017

Janet Yellen's term of office as Chairman of the Federal Reserve doesn't end until early February, but since Wednesday was her final post-FOMC press conference some sense of an era coming to a close was inevitable. Not that she would have sought to make her appearance...

December 14, 2017

To the surprise of absolutely nobody, the Fed duly hiked rates by 25 basis points yesterday. In doing so they came through with what their forward guidance had long been suggesting ..... a total of three rate hikes in 2017. Well done them ..... if you take the market's...

December 11, 2017

It's not as though Wednesday's rate decision from the Federal Reserve (19.00hrs, NYT) is likely to take too many people by surprise  --   a 25 basis point hike is as close to a "done deal" as makes no difference. It's what the Fed has to say about the future that will...

December 6, 2017

Since we seem to spend quite a lot of time pointing out how often the year-end forecasts of respected judges prove to be wide of the mark, one might wonder why we spend so much time looking at them. It's not because we've become so jaundiced that we automatically like...

December 4, 2017

One of the most extraordinary things about the inexorable rise of stock markets in recent times has been the ability of investors to block out anxieties over both geopolitical and domestic political storm clouds that in the past would have had them running for cover. A...

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